I.A. The Fiscal Model
Cuzán and Heggen, "Expenditures and Votes in the U.S. and U.K."
A Derivative-Based Model of U.S. Presidential Elecxtions: 1880-2020.
2012 Fiscal Model Failure-A Measurement Problem. An Assessment. Prepared for presentation at the 2013 meeting of the Southern Political Science Association, Orlando, Florida, January 4th.
I.A.28. Forecasting the 2012 Presidential Election with the Fiscal Model. August 1 Update. Article link and Data link.
I.A.27. Forecasting the 2012 Presidential Election with the Fiscal Model. August 1 Update.
I.A.26. Forecasting the 2012 Presidential Election with the Fiscal Model. May 24 Update.
I.A.25. Forecasting the 2012 Presidential Election with the Fiscal Model, November 4, 2011 Update.
I.A.24. Fiscal Policy, Economic Performance, and Vote-Getting Efficiency-A DEA Ranking of Presidents, 1880-2008, (with William B. Tankersley as first author). Journal of US-China Public Administration. August 2011, Vol 8, No.8, 851-860.
I.A.23. Forecasting the 2012 Presidential Election with the Fiscal Model, September 7, 2011 Update.
I.A.22. Forecasting the 2012 Election with the Fiscal Model. Prepared for presentation at the Bucharest Dialogue conference in Bucharest, Romania, November 19-21, 2010.
I.A.21. Fiscal Policy and Vote-Getting Efficiency in Presidential Elections-A Data Envelopment Analysis, 1880-2008. (with William B. Tankersley as first author). Chapter 7 in Chandrasekhar Putcha (Ed.), Methods of Forecasting American Election Outcome: Studies in Strategies of Prediction. The Edwin Mellen Press, 2010.
I.A.20. Fiscal Policy, Economic Performance, and Vote-Getting Efficiency: A DEA Ranking of Presidents, 1880-2008. (with William B. Tankersley as first author) Presented at the 2010 meeting of the Southern Political Science Association, Atlanta, January 9th.
I.A.19. Predicting Presidential Elections With Equally-Weighted Regressors in Fair's Equation and the Fiscal Model (with Charles M. Bundrick). Political Analysis, 17, 2009, 333-340.
I.A.18. Will Barack Obama Be a One-Term President? tcsdaily.com (March 10, 2009).
I.A.17. Fiscal Policy in American Presidential Elections: A Simulation (with Charles M. Bundrick and Richard J. Heggen) Simulation, vol. 85, no. 1 (January 2009), 17-32.
I.A.16. Forecasting the 2008 Presidential Election With the Fiscal Model: The Challenge Met (with Charles M. Bundrick) PS Political Science and Politics,vol.42, no. 1 (January 2009), 23.
I.A.15. Forecasting the 2008 Presidential Election: A Challenge for the Fiscal Model (with Charles M. Bundrick). Prepared for presentation at the 2008 meeting of the American Political Science Association, Boston, August 29.
I.A.14. Fiscal Policy as an Explanatory and Forecasting Factor in American Presidential Elections (with Charles M. Bundrick). Presented at the2006 meeting of the American Political Science Association, Philadelphia, September.
I.A.13. Simulating the Fiscal Model of Presidential Elections (with Richard Heggen and Charles M. Bundrick). Presented at the 2006 meeting of the Southern Political Science Association, January.View the corresponding tables and graphs.
I.A.12. Don't Bet the Ranch on the Republicans Retaining the White House
I.A.11. Deconstructing the 2004 Presidential Election Forecasts: The Fiscal Model and the Campbell Collection Compared (with Charles M. Bundrick) PS: Political Science and Politics, vol. 38, no. 2 (April 2005), 255-262.
I.A.10. Fiscal Effects on Presidential Elections: A Forecast for 2004 (with Charles M. Bundrick). Presented at the 2004 meeting of the American Political Science Association, Chicago, September.
I.A.9. Fiscal Policy, Economic Performance, and Vote-Getting Efficiency: A DEA Ranking of Presidents, 1880-2000* (with William. B. Tankersley as first author). Presented at the 2004 meeting of the Southern Political Science Association, New Orleans, January 8.
I.A.9.a. DEA Ranking Tables 1 through 3 and Appendix B.
I.A.8. Can Bush Be Another FDR or Reagan? Published December 23rd 2003. Tech Central Station.
I.A.7. Fiscal Policy, Economic Conditions, and Terms in Office: Simulating Presidential Election Outcomes (with Richard J. Heggen and Charles M. Bundrick). In Janet K. Allen and Jennifer Wilby (Eds.), Proceedings of the World Congress of the Systems Sciences and ISSS International Society for the Systems Sciences , 44th Annual Meeting, July 16-20, 2000, Toronto, Canada (on CD-ROM, ISBN 09664183-5-2).
I.A.6. Fiscal Policy and Presidential Election: Update and Extension (with Charles M. Bundrick). Published in Presidential Studies Quarterly, vol. 30, no. 2, June 2000.
I.A.5. Fiscal Policy as a Forecasting Factor in Presidential Elections (with Charles M. Bundrick). Published in American Politics Quarterly, vol. 27, no. 3, July 1999.
I.A.4.. Fiscal Policy and Presidential Elections 1880-1992 (with Charles M. Bundrick). Published in Polity, vol. XXIX, no. 1, Fall 1996.
I.A.3. Selected Fiscal and Economic Effects on Presidential Elections (with Charles M. Bundrick). Published in Presidential Studies Quarterly, vol. XXII, no. 1, Winter 1992.
I.A.2. Expenditures and Votes: In Search of Downward-Sloping Curves in the United States and Great Britain (with Richard Heggen), Public Choice, vol. 45, no. 1, 1985.
I.A.1. A Fiscal Model of Presidential Elections in the United States: 1880-1980. Published in Presidential Studies Quarterly, vol. XIV, no. 1, Winter 1984.